Wall Street looks set to give back some of Monday’s gains, as appetite for risk fades ahead of the first joint appearance by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Capitol Hill, where they will discuss COVID-19 pandemic policies.
In pre-released remarks, Powell said the U.S. economy has recovered ground faster than expected and “looks to be strengthening.” And most probably agree with him, as more Americans get vaccinated, and hopefully get ahead of those coronavirus variants.
Tuesday also marks one year to the day that the S&P 500
hit its worst level of the pandemic — 2237.40. The index has since rallied a whopping 76% since.
It seems a good enough time to think about your post-pandemic portfolio, and our call of the day, from Wells Fargo’s head of global asset strategy Tracie McMillion, has five strategies to get you started.
McMillion is big on rebalancing and diversifying quarterly. In a note to clients, she outpoints this chart that shows how one of the team’s portfolios that did those two things fared relative to individual assets classes, and how market pullbacks can offer diversification opportunities.
- Diversify between equity asset-classes and sectors. “We expect the global economy to grow faster than the U.S. economy, so global diversification may be increasingly important to capture world-wide equity gains,” says McMillion. For example, emerging markets could bounce back faster and offer more attractive opportunities over developed. As for U.S. stocks, she suggests a barbell approach with bigger allocations to cyclically oriented large and small-cap stocks. She expects higher corporate taxes, but says growth and fiscal spending could offset that. Stick to information technology, financials, consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and communication services.
- Be choosy about fixed income. The 40-year bull market is probably winding down, with interest rates set to rise then hover near historic lows, making it tougher for big capital gains in that asset class. “In today’s low-yield environment, income investors should consider allocations to high-yielding fixed-income classes, including corporate bonds and emerging market bonds, but investors should do so judiciously in line with their risk tolerance,” she says.
- You need more commodities. As the global economy keeps improving, so will demand for commodities, and that is as supplies remain constrained for a while. For example, 2020’s plunge in oil prices crushed weaker suppliers and those surviving ones may not respond to rising demand fast enough. “Gold and other precious metals may act as a volatility hedge to portfolios diversifying away from low fixed-income yields, and agricultural commodities’ prices may continue to climb on rising demand,” says McMillion.
- Use hedging strategies to mitigate downside risk and take advantage of rising mergers and acquisitions activity. The strategist says the team sees a good year ahead for hedge funds and private capital strategies capitalizing on post-pandemic trends, with some even offering a hedge for downside risk. And if we get more deals as Wells Fargo expects, that will benefit merger arbitrage and activist managers. Widening differences in returns over individual assets should also be a boost for those hedge strategies and some active managers.
- Private capital works for some. “Innovative smaller companies and startups that provide and utilize cutting-edge technology should offer opportunities for investors. The reshoring of supply chains may also offer create opportunities for new ventures,” says McMillion.
Onward to a rough start
and Nasdaq futures
are down 0.3% across the board, with oil
getting crushed and the dollar
higher. European equities
are getting knocked by Germany’s lockdown blues. It was also rough for Asian stocks, as Chinese internet giant Baidu
had an underwhelming Hong Kong debut.
And what’s going on at AstraZeneca?
Shares of AstraZeneca
are under pressure after federal officials say the drug company may have relied on ‘outdated information’ for its U.S. COVID-19 trial announced as safe and 79% effective in preventing symptomatic disease a day earlier.
Hobbled by a slow vaccine rollout in Europe, Germany will stretch its lockdown another month, shutting down public life over Easter. And in the U.K., holidays abroad could result in a nearly $7,000 fine. Meanwhile, Israel continues to offer hope of what could be:
The administration of President Joe Biden is laying the groundwork for a $3 trillion package of investments on infrastructure and domestic needs.
After the market close, videogames retailer GameStop
will release its first set of earnings since a Reddit-fueled rally. The outcome of those won’t matter much to some WallStreetBets users.
Days after a deadly shooting in Atlanta, a gunman killed 10 people at a Colorado supermarket.
Redditors on why Americans may not be welcome abroad yet.
Going viral in China: A 3,000-year old gold mask.
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