The Technical Indicator: Charting a bullish technical tilt, S&P 500 extends break atop 4,000 mark


Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have taken flight to start April, rising amid statistically unusual bullish momentum.

In the process, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have knifed to record highs, while the Nasdaq Composite has staged a potentially consequential trendline breakout.

Before detailing the U.S. markets’ wider view, the S&P 500’s
 hourly chart highlights the past two weeks.

As illustrated, the S&P has taken flight, extending a break atop the 4,000 mark.

The prevailing upturn has effectively tagged an intermediate-term target (4,085) detailed previously. (Tuesday’s early session high (4,086) has registered nearby.)

Tactically, gap support (4,020) is followed by the firmer breakout point (3,983).

Similarly, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
 has knifed to record territory.

The prevailing upturn punctuates a bull flag — the tight three-session range — also illustrated on the daily chart.

Tactically, the breakout point (33,227) closely matches the top of the gap (33,222), an area that pivots to support.

Against this backdrop, the Nasdaq Composite
has extended a rally atop the 50-day moving average.

The breakout places the January peak (13,729) under siege, an area better illustrated below.

Widening the view to six months adds perspective.

On this wider view, the Nasdaq has knifed to six-week highs, extending a sharp break atop trendline resistance.

Additional overhead matching the January peak (13,729) is currently under siege.

Slightly more broadly, the prevailing upturn punctuates an extended test of major support matching the 2020 peak (12,973). The successful retest preserves a bullish intermediate-term bias.

Looking elsewhere, the Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to outperform.

As illustrated, the index has spiked to all-time highs, rising from a flag pattern underpinned by the 33,000 area. (Also see the hourly chart.)

More broadly, the prevailing upturn originates from a successful March retest of the breakout point (32,009). Bullish price action.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has also taken flight, knifing atop the 4,000 mark for the first time on record.

The prevailing upturn punctuates a successful March retest of the 50-day moving average.

The bigger picture

As detailed above, the major U.S. benchmarks have registered decisive April breakouts.

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have knifed to all-time highs, while the Nasdaq Composite has staged a sharp trendline breakout.

Notably, the April spike has registered as statistically unusual, with each big three benchmark closing atop its 20-day Bollinger bands. Each index is vying Tuesday for the more reliably bullish consecutive closes atop the bands. (As always, closes atop the Bollinger bands signal an unusually strong two standard deviation breakout.)

Moving to the small-caps, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF
 has rallied less aggressively from the March low.

Still, the prevailing upturn places it back atop the 50-day moving average, and within striking distance of record highs.

Meanwhile, the SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF
 remains incrementally stronger.

Technically, the mid-cap benchmark has extended a rally atop its former breakout point (Feb. peak), rising to challenge record territory.

Looking elsewhere, the SPDR Trust S&P 500
 has knifed to uncharted territory.

The prevailing upturn originates from a March test of the 50-day moving average.

Placing a finer point on the S&P 500, the index has extended a break atop the 4,000 mark.

In the process, the index has swiftly reached its intermediate-term target (4,085) detailed previously. (Tuesday’s early session high (4,086) has registered nearby.)

More broadly, the S&P 500 has staged a decisive 2.4% April breakout, confirming its primary uptrend.

Against this backdrop, the S&P is vying Tuesday to register an unusual second straight close atop its 20-day volatility bands.

As always, consecutive closes atop the bands signal a tension between time horizons.

Though near-term extended, and due to consolidate, bullish momentum has registered as extreme, likely laying the groundwork for longer-term gains. (See the early-January break atop the bands, subsequent sideways price action, and upside follow-through.)

Beyond the details, the S&P 500’s strong second-quarter start is constructive. All technical trends continue to point higher.

Also see: Charting the S&P 500’s approach of the 4,000 mark.

Tuesday’s Watch List

The charts below detail names that are technically well positioned. These are radar screen names — sectors or stocks poised to move in the near term. For the original comments on the stocks below, see The Technical Indicator Library.

Drilling down further, the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
 is acting well technically. (Yield = 2.5%.)

As illustrated, the group has sustained a recent break to record territory.

The prevailing upturn builds on the March rally atop trendline resistance closely tracking the 50-day moving average. (The 50-day’s slope has recently ticked higher, also consistent with a trend shift.)

Tactically, the breakout point (68.00) is followed by the post-breakout low (67.55). The prevailing rally attempt is firmly intact barring a violation. (Also see the March 25 review.)

Moving to specific names, VMware, Inc.
 is a well positioned large-cap cloud-infrastructure name.

Late last month, the shares knifed to five-month highs, rising from an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern defined by the December, January and March lows.

The subsequent flag-like pattern has formed amid decreased volume, positioning the shares to build on the initial spike. Tactically, a sustained posture atop the breakout point (149.90) signals a firmly-bullish bias.

Autodesk, Inc.
 is a large-cap software vendor showing signs of life.

As illustrated, the shares are challenging trendline resistance roughly tracking the 50-day moving average. The prevailing upturn punctuates a March retest of the 200-day moving average.

Tactically, the former range top (275.00) pivots to support. A breakout attempt is in play barring a violation.

Initially profiled March 10, Southwest Airlines Co.
 has added 6.9% and remains well positioned.

Technically, the shares have rallied to three-year highs, clearing resistance matching the March peak. A near-term target projects to the 68 area.

Conversely, the breakout point (62.20) closely matches the top of the gap and is followed by a near-term floor, circa 60.70. A sustained posture atop this area signals a bullish bias.

Finally, Dollar Tree, Inc
 is a well positioned large-cap discount retailer.

As illustrated, the shares have knifed to 52-week highs, clearing resistance matching the December and January peaks. The upturn punctuates a late-March flag pattern.

Though near-term extended, and due to consolidate, the shares are attractive on a pullback. Initial support, circa 116.00, is followed by the firmer breakout point (114.75).

More broadly, the shares are well positioned on the 10-year chart, challenging major resistance matching the 2018 and 2019 peaks.

Still well positioned

The table below includes names recently profiled in The Technical Indicator that remain well positioned. For the original comments, see The Technical Indicator Library.

Company Symbol* (Click symbol for chart.) Date Profiled
Qorvo, Inc. QRVO Apr. 5
Hess Corp. HES Apr. 5
Sunnova Energy International, Inc. NOVA Apr. 1
VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF SMH Apr. 1
Lam Research Corp. LRCX Apr. 1
NetApp, Inc. NTAP Apr. 1
FedEx Corp. FDX Mar. 31
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. APD Mar. 31
Vericel Corp. VCEL Mar. 31
U.S. Steel Corp. X Mar. 31
F5 Networks, Inc. FFIV Mar. 30
Ternium S.A. TX Mar. 30
Target Corp. TGT Mar. 30
Texas Instruments, Inc. TXN Mar. 29
NXP Semiconductors N.V. NXPI Mar. 29
iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF IYR Mar. 29
Coca-Cola Co. KO Mar. 29
Home Depot, Inc. HD Mar. 26
Ferrari N.V. RACE Mar. 26
Funko Inc FNKO Mar. 26
Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO Mar. 25
Steel Dynamics, Inc. STLD Mar. 25
Procter & Gamble Co. PG Mar. 25
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR XLP Mar. 25
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF ITB Mar. 23
Lennar Corp. LEN Mar. 23
Jabil Circuit, Inc. JBL Mar. 23
Dish Network Corp. DISH Mar. 23
UnitedHealth Group, Inc. UNH Mar. 22
Shift4 Payments, Inc. FOUR Mar. 19
Whirlpool Corp. WHR Mar. 19
U.S. Bancorp USB Mar. 19
Nasdaq, Inc. NDAQ Mar. 18
D.R. Horton, Inc. DHI Mar. 18
Facebook, Inc. FB Mar. 17
AutoNation, Inc. AN Mar. 17
McDonald’s Corp. MCD Mar. 16
Virtu Financial, Inc. VIRT Mar. 16
Spirit Airlines, Inc. SAVE Mar. 16
LKQ Corp. LKQ Mar. 15
Anthem, Inc. ANTM Mar. 15
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. WBA Mar. 12
International Paper Co. IP Mar. 12
iShares Europe ETF IEV Mar. 11
CME Group, Inc. CME Mar. 11
3M Co. MMM Mar. 11
Southwest Airlines Co. LUV Mar. 10
Big Lots, Inc. BIG Mar. 9
Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK Mar. 9
State Street Corp. STT Mar. 8
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. AEO Mar. 8
Hess Corp. HES Mar. 3
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. BZH Mar. 3
Mastercard, Inc. MA Mar. 2
Boeing Co. BA Mar. 2
Starbucks Corp. SBUX Mar. 1
Eaton Corp. ETN Feb. 25
Oracle Corp. ORCL Feb. 24
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. UAL Feb. 24
Nucor Corp. NUE Feb. 23
Signet Jewelers Limited SIG Feb. 23
Old Dominion Freight Line ODFL Feb. 22
Seagate Technology STX Feb. 19
Chevron Corp. CVX Feb. 18
Lyft, Inc. LYFT Feb. 16
Intel Corp. INTC Feb. 12
U.S. Global Jets ETF JETS Feb. 9
Motorola Solutions, Inc. MSI Feb. 9
KeyCorp KEY Feb. 5
Diamondback Energy, Inc. FANG Feb. 4
CarMax, Inc. KMX Feb. 3
Toll Brothers, Inc. TOL Feb. 2
Avis Budget Group, Inc. CAR Feb. 1
Capital One Financial Corp. COF Jan. 29
Cummins, Inc. CMI Jan. 25
Magna International, Inc. MGA Jan. 22
M.D.C. Holdings, Inc. MDC Jan. 22
Zebra Technologies Corp. ZBRA Jan. 14
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. NXST Jan. 11
iShares Transportation Average ETF IYT Jan. 11
Energy Select Sector SPDR XLE Jan. 8
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. SWKS Jan. 7
Financial Select Sector SPDR XLF Jan. 7
Synaptics, Inc. SYNA Jan. 4
JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM Dec. 22
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. WSM Dec. 15
SDPR S&P Regional Banking ETF KRE Dec. 14
Emerson Electric Co. EMR Dec. 8
Fortinet, Inc. FTNT Dec. 7
Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. KLIC Dec. 7
Dillard’s, Inc. DDS Dec. 4
Sonos, Inc. SONO Dec. 1
American Airlines Group, Inc. AAL Nov. 30
Bank of America Corp. BAC Nov. 20
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration and Production ETF XOP Nov. 20
MetLife, Inc. MET Nov. 19
Kohl’s Corp. KSS Nov. 18
Applied Materials, Inc. AMAT Nov. 17
Regions Financial Corp. RF Nov. 13
Norfolk Southern Corp. NSC Nov. 9
Communications Services Select Sector SPDR XLC Nov. 5
Alphabet, Inc. GOOGL Nov. 5
Micron Technology, Inc. MU Oct. 20
ON Semiconductor Corp. ON Oct. 16
Ford Motor Co. F Oct. 15
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF XHB Oct. 9
Shake Shack, Inc. SHAK Oct. 9
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. MLM Sept. 30
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. ANF Sept. 29
Crocs, Inc. CROX Sept. 14
Five Below, Inc. FIVE Sept. 10
Deere & Co. DE Aug. 24
Johnson Controls International JCI Aug. 21
General Motors Co. GM Aug. 20
Builders FirstSource, Inc. BLDR Aug. 18
Industrial Select Sector SPDR XLI Aug. 6
SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF XME July 28
Materials Select Sector SPDR XLB July 20
Caterpillar, Inc. CAT July 20
SPDR S&P Retail ETF XRT June 3
iShares MSCI Japan ETF EWJ May 29
Tesla, Inc. TSLA Apr. 23
Apple, Inc. AAPL Mar. 27, 2020
Microsoft Corp. MSFT Feb. 22, 2019
* Click each symbol for current chart.

Cannabis Watch: Organigram’s first deal since securing $176 million investment from BAT will expand cannabis edibles line

Previous article

: What the Iran nuclear talks mean for oil prices

Next article

You may also like


Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More in News